← Curio Grand Archive DTR Store Championship
Water Crux MageTier 2
at Curio Grand Archive DTR Store Championship
decks
1
(5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
0-3-1
overall winrate
12.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.4%
avg ELO -1.7 per match
expected value
42.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1006
· median 1006
· range 1006–1006
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1006
Q1 1252
Q3 1449
1511
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Astra Ranger | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.1% | -4.7 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.1% | -4.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.4% | -4.2 |
| Fire Suited | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 5.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.3% | +6.8 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Crux Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
